King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening
876K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
50.9%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.0%.
Measured over 876K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 876K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 876K
- Best context
- 57.7% at 1400-1599 UltraBullet
- Worst context
- 44.9% at 1000-1199 Classical
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.0%
- Draws
- 4.0%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 44.7% at 0-999, 53.0% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.1% expected score (308 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (15,807 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (29,393 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (17,357 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 36.0% expected score (234 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (666 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (33,413 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (53,525 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (24,455 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (567 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (862 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (34,833 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (97,956 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (42,668 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (1,175 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (1,012 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (38,928 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (114,922 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (53,637 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (3,336 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.5% expected score (890 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (30,706 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (97,972 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (55,173 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (2,652 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.8% expected score (813 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (20,337 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (45,179 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (21,256 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (894 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (323 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (8,271 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (13,142 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (3,689 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (39 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 58.9% expected score (38 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (4,073 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (3,627 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.5% expected score (492 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (525 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (298 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (124 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening scores 50.9% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.8% and 51.0% — from 876K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 876K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate?
Playing the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening, White wins 48.9%, draws 4.0% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 876K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening perform best?
The King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 53.3% (8.2K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 51.0% in Blitz (456K games) against 50.5% in Rapid (219K games).
How sharp is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening?
The King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 46.4%, draws 3.9% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.4%. It rests on 63K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 50.0%, draws 3.3% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 113K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 177K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 49.2%, draws 3.9% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 212K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 48.8%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 187K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 48.3%, draws 4.6% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 88K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 48.3%, draws 5.0% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 25K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 50.6%, draws 5.4% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.3%. It rests on 8.2K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 37.9%, draws 28.4% and loses 33.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 955 Lichess games, which average 46 moves.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 52.2%, draws 2.7% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 4.9K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 50.1%, draws 2.5% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 187K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 48.9%, draws 4.2% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 456K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 48.0%, draws 4.9% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 219K Lichess games.
What is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 47.8%, draws 6.0% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 8.9K Lichess games.
Is the King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening a good opening?
The King's Pawn Game: Tayler Opening is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 48.9% of its games and loses 47.1%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.