1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.2% and 49.0%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 50% → 27%
Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Blitz (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.7% win rate for white (143 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (51.8%) outperforms Rapid (49.0%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 55.6% (90% CI: 48.4%-62.8%) win rate for white, based on 127 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 48.9%-62.4%) win rate for white, based on 143 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 44.1%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 149 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 46.9% (90% CI: 41.7%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 245 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 609 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 44.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 421 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 46.1%-53.8%) win rate for white (464 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.
In Blitz games, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-54.6%) win rate for white (836 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.
In Rapid games, the King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-52.4%) win rate for white (575 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.
The King's Pawn Game: Damiano Defense, Damiano Gambit, Chigorin Gambit is statistically balanced with a 50.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.