5.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 42.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.2% and 43.3%), based on 5.6K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 42% → 32%
Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Classical (27%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.5%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 65.2% win rate for white (217 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (62.8%) outperforms Bullet (52.2%) by 10.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 56.0% (90% CI: 48.0%-63.9%) win rate for white, based on 103 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 65.2% (90% CI: 59.8%-70.4%) win rate for white, based on 217 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 59.3% (90% CI: 55.8%-62.8%) win rate for white, based on 539 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 55.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 971 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 54.1% (90% CI: 51.8%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 57.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-59.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 56.9% (90% CI: 53.9%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 711 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 53.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 390 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 50.3%-54.2%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.1%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 57.2% (90% CI: 55.7%-58.7%) win rate for white (2.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line has a 62.8% (90% CI: 60.0%-65.5%) win rate for white (815 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Shirazi Line is statistically favors white with a 56.5% (90% CI: 55.5%-57.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.