1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 43.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 41.5% and 46.3%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 43% → 28%
Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Classical (11%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | ||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 55.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 61.3% win rate for white (58 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (64.4%) outperforms Blitz (51.5%) by 12.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a sharpness score of 98.0 (very decisive), meaning 98.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 55.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-62.6%) win rate for white, based on 146 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 45.8%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 150 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 56.0% (90% CI: 50.0%-61.9%) win rate for white, based on 187 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 339 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 56.0% (90% CI: 50.6%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 228 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 58.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-61.8%) win rate for white (451 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-54.8%) win rate for white (615 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
The King's Gambit Declined: Panteldakis Countergambit, Schiller's Defense is statistically favors white with a 55.1% (90% CI: 52.7%-57.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.