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Analyzer

French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation

12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.4%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 50.2%Based on 12K games
0%49.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
47.1%4.6%48.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation
n=12K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 49.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 50.2%), based on 12K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 50% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (345 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.7% win rate (465 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.1% win rate (632 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (696 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.9% win rate (989 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.0% win rate (2,249 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (3,624 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.1% win rate (2,679 games)
  • 2500+: 47.4% win rate (466 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Blitz (46%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.7% win rate (13 games)
  • Bullet: 48.6% win rate (3,853 games)
  • Blitz: 46.2% win rate (6,749 games)
  • Rapid: 47.5% win rate (1,470 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (60 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.1% expected score (169 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (142 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (249 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (159 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (248 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (122 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (367 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (193 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (277 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (512 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (179 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (647 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (1,387 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (204 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (927 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (2,436 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.3% expected score (252 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (1,368 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (1,215 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (93 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (351 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (115 games)

Related Openings

Parent
French Defense
45.7%
Variations (5)
French Defense: Advance Variation
48.0%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Euwe Variation
46.1%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Extended Bishop Swap
48.6%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Frenkel Gambit
46.5%
French Defense: Advance Variation, Lputian Variation
48.8%
Continuations (10)
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Advance Variation
55.0%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Bernstein Variation
45.8%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Chigorin Variation
42.7%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Dr. Olland Variation
52.0%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Duras Variation
54.9%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Exchange Variation
48.8%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Grigoriev Variation
49.5%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Janowski Variation
53.7%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Lasker Variation
47.7%
French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation, Tartakower Variation
51.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation perform best?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (696 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.6%) outperforms Classical (46.3%) by 2.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 45.9%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 345 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 43.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 465 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.9%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 632 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 696 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 44.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 989 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 46.0% (90% CI: 44.2%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 45.5%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 43.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 466 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.9%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 45.2%-47.2%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-49.6%) win rate for white (1.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation a good opening?

The French Defense: MacCutcheon Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.