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Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit

212K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

57.4%

45%65%
Floor57.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 57.6%.

Measured over 212K games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 212K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
212K
Best context
61.8% at 2000-2199 Rapid
Worst context
53.0% at 0-999 Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
96.0%
Draws
4.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +15.2% · Breakpoint: Never

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.1% · Rapid best · UltraBullet worst

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 51.3% at 0-999, 61.2% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (33 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (1,223 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (1,310 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (599 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (54 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (2,075 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (1,773 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (542 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (120 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (4,061 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 57.1% expected score (3,292 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.8% expected score (858 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 45.7% expected score (381 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (7,215 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.3% expected score (6,799 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 60.2% expected score (1,371 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (72 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (333 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (12,569 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (14,866 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (2,521 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.3% expected score (132 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (173 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (19,088 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 58.8% expected score (29,571 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (4,736 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (206 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 56.9% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (20,050 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.4% expected score (34,106 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (4,652 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (121 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (15,770 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (15,900 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 59.6% expected score (1,473 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 80.8% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (2,632 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (842 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (46 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Dutch Defense
49.8%
Variations (5)
Dutch Defense: Queen's Knight Variation
48.2%
Dutch Defense: Rubinstein Variation
47.6%
Dutch Defense: Raphael Variation
51.2%
Dutch Defense: Normal Variation
48.3%
Dutch Defense: Classical Variation
49.1%
Continuations (6)
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Chigorin Variation
46.3%
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Lasker Variation
53.1%
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Alekhine Variation
52.6%
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Tartakower Variation
53.3%
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, Nimzowitsch Variation
48.6%
Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, American Attack
43.5%
Analyze Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit scores 57.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 57.2% and 57.6% — from 212K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
212K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate?

Playing the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit, White wins 55.4%, draws 4.0% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.4%. It rests on 212K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit perform best?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit performs best for White at 1800-1999, with an Expected Score of 58.0% (54K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 57.8% in Blitz (108K games) against 60.3% in Rapid (17K games).

How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 53.2%, draws 4.3% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 54.7%, draws 2.5% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.0%. It rests on 4.5K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 55.3%, draws 2.3% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.5%. It rests on 8.4K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 54.9%, draws 2.4% and loses 42.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.1%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 56.0%, draws 2.9% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 56.1%, draws 3.7% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 54K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 55.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 40.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.5%. It rests on 59K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 54.7%, draws 5.3% and loses 40.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.4%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 54.3%, draws 5.2% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.9%. It rests on 3.5K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 49.4%, draws 0.7% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.8%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 55.0%, draws 2.6% and loses 42.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.3%. It rests on 85K Lichess games.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 55.4%, draws 4.8% and loses 39.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.8%. It rests on 108K Lichess games.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 57.5%, draws 5.6% and loses 36.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.3%. It rests on 17K Lichess games.

What is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 57.4%, draws 6.6% and loses 36.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 60.7%. It rests on 609 Lichess games.

Is the Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit a good opening?

The Dutch Defense: Staunton Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 55.4% of its games and loses 40.7%. It performs best at 1800-1999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.