Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack
121K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
53.4%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 53.7%.
Measured over 121K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 121K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 121K
- Best context
- 58.3% at 2200-2499 Rapid
- Worst context
- 51.6% at 0-999 Rapid
- Average game length
- 36 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.6%
- Draws
- 5.4%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 54.3% at 0-999, 51.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (399 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (1,423 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (628 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (950 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (1,800 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (783 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (26 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (1,515 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (3,229 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (1,245 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 66.8% expected score (52 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (2,962 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (7,314 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (2,029 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (137 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.9% expected score (126 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (5,117 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (12,996 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (3,043 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (229 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 37.0% expected score (33 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (6,532 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (18,877 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (4,491 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (213 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (7,071 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (16,537 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (2,936 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.5% expected score (123 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (4,762 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (9,842 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (991 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (26 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.2% expected score (1,241 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,234 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.9% expected score (49 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack scores 53.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.2% and 53.7% — from 121K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 121K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate?
Playing the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack, White wins 50.7%, draws 5.4% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.4%. It rests on 121K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack perform best?
The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.7% (2.5K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 53.5% in Blitz (73K games) against 54.3% in Rapid (16K games).
How sharp is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack?
The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 49.5%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 52.2%, draws 4.0% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 3.6K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 53.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 43.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 6.0K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 51.8%, draws 3.6% and loses 44.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 50.8%, draws 4.4% and loses 44.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.0%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 49.6%, draws 5.3% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 30K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 50.6%, draws 6.0% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 27K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 51.8%, draws 6.7% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.2%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 46.8%, draws 19.7% and loses 33.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 2.5K Lichess games, which average 47 moves.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in UltraBullet?
In UltraBullet, White wins 47.0%, draws 0.2% and loses 52.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.1%. It rests on 225 Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.2% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 31K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 50.6%, draws 5.7% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.5%. It rests on 73K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 51.0%, draws 6.4% and loses 42.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 16K Lichess games.
What is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 55.3%, draws 7.7% and loses 37.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.1%. It rests on 828 Lichess games.
Is the Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack a good opening?
The Dutch Defense: Fianchetto Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.7% of its games and loses 43.9%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.