4.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 52.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.3% and 52.3%), based on 4.5M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 47% → 52%
Similar across time controls (~50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.5M rated games from Lichess.
The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.9% win rate for white (129K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 2.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 159K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 245K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.6%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 376K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 550K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 758K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 945K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 809K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 556K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.6%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 129K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.4%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.
In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.3%-50.4%) win rate for white (2.2M Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.
In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.3%) win rate for white (1.8M Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.
In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (472K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.
In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.
The Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.