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Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.6%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.0%Based on 39K games
0%51.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.1%4.9%46.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...b5
Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 51.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 52.0%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.0% win rate (2,126 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.0% win rate (1,719 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (1,496 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (1,668 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.9% win rate (2,577 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.8% win rate (5,801 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.9% win rate (8,982 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.9% win rate (12,456 games)
  • 2500+: 47.3% win rate (2,228 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (38%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.5% win rate (49 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (14,176 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (20,470 games)
  • Rapid: 43.6% win rate (4,215 games)
  • Classical: 38.4% win rate (143 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (255 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (698 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (250 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (824 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (615 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (297 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (593 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (565 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (568 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (655 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (411 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 81.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (858 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (319 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,757 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (3,445 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (574 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (2,510 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (5,701 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (744 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (5,876 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (6,289 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (279 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (1,805 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (411 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (10 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Exchange Variation
47.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Hillbilly Attack
44.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation, Botvinnik-Carls Defense
46.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack
50.2%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 53.6% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.2%) outperforms Bullet (44.6%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.3%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.6%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 49.7%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 47.2% (90% CI: 45.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.8%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.5%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.8%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.3%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 45.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-46.4%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.4%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack has a 51.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-58.4%) win rate for white (143 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.0%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: Gurgenidze Counterattack is statistically balanced with a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.