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Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense

40K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.1%Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 47.5%Based on 40K games
0%47.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.7% – 47.5%
Outcome Distribution
44.8%4.5%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nc7
Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense
Analyzen=40K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 47.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.7% and 47.5%), based on 40K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 20.2% · Classical best · Bullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 47%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.0% win rate (2,920 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.7% win rate (2,425 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.5% win rate (3,290 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.3% win rate (3,452 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.5% win rate (4,487 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.2% win rate (4,321 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.5% win rate (4,666 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (9,616 games)
  • 2500+: 46.6% win rate (5,017 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (29%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.6% win rate (211 games)
  • Bullet: 48.3% win rate (21,526 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (14,204 games)
  • Rapid: 36.1% win rate (3,946 games)
  • Classical: 28.7% win rate (307 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (712 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.8% expected score (1,321 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 33.6% expected score (852 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 35.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (735 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (1,066 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 36.0% expected score (556 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.6% expected score (42 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,488 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.0% expected score (1,149 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.6% expected score (581 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 20.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 51.2% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (1,363 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (1,299 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (655 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 25.2% expected score (95 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (2,229 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (1,618 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (523 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.7% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (1,733 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,269 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (283 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 39.9% expected score (28 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (2,225 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (2,065 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (342 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 32.8% expected score (13 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (6,543 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (2,905 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 33.8% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (4,498 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (512 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Caro-Kann Defense
47.6%
Variations (5)
Caro-Kann Defense: Exchange Variation
47.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Hillbilly Attack
44.6%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation
49.2%
Caro-Kann Defense: Advance Variation, Botvinnik-Carls Defense
46.0%
Caro-Kann Defense: Two Knights Attack
50.2%
Analyze Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate?

The Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 40K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense perform best?

The Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 59.0% win rate for white (2.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (67.9%) outperforms Bullet (47.7%) by 20.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense?

The Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 59.0% (90% CI: 57.5%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 58.9% (90% CI: 57.2%-60.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.2%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 55.8% (90% CI: 54.5%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.8%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 45.3% (90% CI: 44.5%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 46.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 56.7% (90% CI: 51.1%-62.2%) win rate for white (211 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.2%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 52.4% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.1%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 58.7% (90% CI: 57.4%-60.0%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense has a 67.9% (90% CI: 63.5%-72.2%) win rate for white (307 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense a good opening?

The Caro-Kann Defense: De Bruycker Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.