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Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation

9.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score55.5%Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 56.3%Based on 9.8K games
0%55.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.7% – 56.3%
Outcome Distribution
53.3%4.5%42.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nc6
Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation
Analyzen=9.8K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 55.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.7% and 56.3%), based on 9.8K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~53%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.2% win rate (381 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.8% win rate (638 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.7% win rate (1,079 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.9% win rate (1,650 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.6% win rate (2,093 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.5% win rate (2,198 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.7% win rate (1,240 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.0% win rate (447 games)
  • 2500+: 52.8% win rate (60 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Blitz (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (2,069 games)
  • Blitz: 53.0% win rate (5,488 games)
  • Rapid: 53.6% win rate (2,085 games)
  • Classical: 56.1% win rate (142 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (62 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (203 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (116 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 61.9% expected score (121 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (348 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (161 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.7% expected score (194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (598 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (262 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 72.7% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (275 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (959 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (387 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (437 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (1,159 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (463 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (424 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (1,313 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (425 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 56.8% expected score (296 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (706 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 59.0% expected score (227 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (213 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (190 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.8% expected score (43 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.5% expected score (47 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bogo-Indian Defense
57.5%
Variations (5)
Bogo-Indian Defense: Exchange Variation
50.0%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Grünfeld Variation
50.5%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Monticelli Trap
57.8%
Bogo-Indian Defense: New England Variation
46.1%
Bogo-Indian Defense: Nimzowitsch Variation
47.4%
Analyze Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.1%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation perform best?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 54.7% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (53.0%) outperforms Classical (56.1%) by -3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 381 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 52.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 638 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.2%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 51.9%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 49.8%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.4%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 49.1%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 447 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-55.1%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.1%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 51.8%-55.4%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-62.8%) win rate for white (142 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

Is the Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation a good opening?

The Bogo-Indian Defense: Haiti Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.