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Bird Opening: Williams Gambit

983K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 48.6%Based on 983K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 48.6%
Outcome Distribution
47.0%2.9%50.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Qe2
Bird Opening: Williams Gambit
Analyzen=983K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 48.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 48.6%), based on 983K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +0.1% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 13.8% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 42% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.5% win rate (43,365 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (73,003 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.5% win rate (117,788 games)
  • 1400-1599: 46.6% win rate (189,616 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (249,225 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.1% win rate (210,271 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.2% win rate (82,655 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (16,029 games)
  • 2500+: 48.5% win rate (760 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in Classical (35%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.7% win rate (9,755 games)
  • Bullet: 48.4% win rate (621,549 games)
  • Blitz: 45.2% win rate (305,563 games)
  • Rapid: 41.7% win rate (44,491 games)
  • Classical: 34.6% win rate (1,354 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 41.6% expected score (495 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (16,250 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (19,761 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 39.6% expected score (6,782 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 26.5% expected score (77 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (841 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (38,299 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (26,262 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (7,425 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 33.4% expected score (176 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (1,871 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (67,987 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (39,728 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (7,952 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 31.7% expected score (250 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (2,902 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (111,307 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (66,203 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (8,765 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 29.5% expected score (439 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.3% expected score (2,965 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (149,212 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (89,574 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (7,172 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (302 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 42.1% expected score (542 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (152,176 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (52,110 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (5,345 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (103 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (70,492 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (11,058 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (990 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (15,105 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (832 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.8% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (721 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 67.8% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: Williams Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 983K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: Williams Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 48.1% win rate for white (210K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.4%) outperforms Classical (34.6%) by 13.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit?

The Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 41.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-41.8%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.4%-46.0%) win rate for white, based on 73K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 118K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 190K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 249K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 210K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 83K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.5%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 760 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 44.7% (90% CI: 43.9%-45.5%) win rate for white (9.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.5%) win rate for white (622K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 45.2% (90% CI: 45.0%-45.3%) win rate for white (306K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 41.7% (90% CI: 41.4%-42.1%) win rate for white (44K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit has a 34.6% (90% CI: 32.5%-36.8%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

Is the Bird Opening: Williams Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Williams Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.