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Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation

151K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.5%

40%55%
Floor47.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.7%.

Measured over 151K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 3.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 151K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
151K
Best context
61.9% at 1600-1799 Rapid
Worst context
34.9% at 2500+ Blitz
Average game length
31 moves
Games that end decisively
96.7%
Draws
3.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +16.7% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 69.6% at 0-999, 32.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (95 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 72.0% expected score (19 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (152 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 69.9% expected score (94 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.6% expected score (551 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 63.0% expected score (377 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 72.5% expected score (72 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (1,711 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 69.3% expected score (271 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 53.9% expected score (101 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (4,943 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (8,131 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.9% expected score (1,070 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (99 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (10,963 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (26,191 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (3,006 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (179 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (16,184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (32,867 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (3,319 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (19,591 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 40.6% expected score (12,221 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.6% expected score (1,051 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (5,427 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (557 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 18.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit
48.6%
Bird Opening: Williams Gambit
47.0%
Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit
50.6%
Bird Opening: Lasker Variation
51.9%
Analyze Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation scores 47.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.3% and 47.7% — from 151K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
151K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate?

Playing the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation, Black wins 45.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 151K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation perform best?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation performs best for Black at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 61.5% (1.0K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 46.9% in Blitz (82K games) against 50.7% in Rapid (8.8K games).

How sharp is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 62.8%, draws 0.4% and loses 36.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.0%. It rests on 125 Lichess games, which average 15 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 61.5%, draws 2.0% and loses 36.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 62.5%. It rests on 271 Lichess games, which average 19 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 60.7%, draws 1.4% and loses 37.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.5%. It rests on 1.0K Lichess games, which average 21 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 58.8%, draws 2.2% and loses 39.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.9%. It rests on 3.8K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 54.3%, draws 2.2% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.4%. It rests on 14K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 49.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 40K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 43.4%, draws 3.5% and loses 53.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.2%. It rests on 52K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 40.8%, draws 3.9% and loses 55.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.8%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 40.5%, draws 4.8% and loses 54.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 6.0K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 53.2%, draws 1.9% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 180 Lichess games.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 46.4%, draws 2.6% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.8%. It rests on 60K Lichess games.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 45.1%, draws 3.6% and loses 51.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 82K Lichess games.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 48.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.7%. It rests on 8.8K Lichess games.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 48.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 46.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 379 Lichess games.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation a good opening?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.9% of its games and loses 50.9%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.