TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Bird Opening: From's Gambit

1.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.9%Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 49.9%Based on 1.5M games
0%49.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.8% – 49.9%
Outcome Distribution
48.3%3.1%48.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...e5
Bird Opening: From's Gambit
Analyzen=1.5M
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.8% and 49.9%), based on 1.5M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +3.7% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (61,154 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (61,116 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.9% win rate (99,013 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.5% win rate (169,550 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.4% win rate (278,981 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.4% win rate (368,376 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (272,690 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (132,402 games)
  • 2500+: 43.7% win rate (17,941 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.2% win rate (18,575 games)
  • Bullet: 48.7% win rate (725,359 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (607,636 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (105,645 games)
  • Classical: 48.9% win rate (4,008 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.8% expected score (405 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (22,487 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (23,942 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (14,113 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (207 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (1,440 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (27,009 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (24,310 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (8,022 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (335 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.9% expected score (2,252 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (48,232 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (38,982 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (9,053 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.2% expected score (494 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 49.0% expected score (3,948 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (83,621 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (68,354 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (12,763 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (864 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (6,535 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (131,047 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (121,745 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (18,672 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (982 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (2,604 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (155,752 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (181,781 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (27,373 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (866 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.6% expected score (1,026 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (137,078 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (121,014 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (13,340 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.7% expected score (232 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (319 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (103,397 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (26,376 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (2,283 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 47.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (16,736 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.7% expected score (1,132 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Williams Gambit
47.0%
Bird Opening: Schlechter Gambit
50.6%
Bird Opening: Lasker Variation
51.9%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation
50.9%
Continuations (4)
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lasker Variation
50.9%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit
49.5%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Langheld Gambit
43.8%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Lipke Variation
47.9%
Analyze Bird Opening: From's Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: From's Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (45.7%) by 4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 99K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 170K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 279K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 368K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 273K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (725K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white (608K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white (106K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.9%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.