What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.3%), based on 1.5M Lichess games.
1.5M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.2% and 50.3%), based on 1.5M Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 44% → 51%
Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (46%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5M rated games from Lichess.
The Bird Opening: From's Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.4% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
UltraBullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (45.7%) by 4.6%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 43.9% (90% CI: 43.5%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 99K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 170K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 279K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.3% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 368K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 273K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.0%) win rate for white (725K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-48.7%) win rate for white (608K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.3%) win rate for white (106K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
In Classical games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.9%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.
The Bird Opening: From's Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.6%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.