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Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit

37K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.0%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.5%Based on 37K games
0%51.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.5%2.9%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.Nc3
Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit
Analyzen=37K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.9%

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 51.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.5%), based on 37K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +2.4% · Breakpoint: 0-999

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 45% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.6% win rate (3,116 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.5% win rate (3,992 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.8% win rate (5,576 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (6,106 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.9% win rate (6,292 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.5% win rate (5,816 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.0% win rate (4,247 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.5% win rate (2,002 games)
  • 2500+: 52.6% win rate (302 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.1% win rate (335 games)
  • Bullet: 49.9% win rate (15,070 games)
  • Blitz: 49.7% win rate (15,987 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (5,661 games)
  • Classical: 43.6% win rate (396 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (845 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (1,513 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (740 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (990 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (1,992 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (958 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,572 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (2,702 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (1,180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (78 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.5% expected score (66 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (2,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (2,620 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (1,085 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (78 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.7% expected score (55 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,912 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (3,211 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.2% expected score (956 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (158 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,639 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (2,482 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (582 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (63 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,902 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (1,139 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (149 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,668 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (312 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (285 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (16 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
27.2%
Analyze Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 37K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (6.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.9%) outperforms Classical (43.6%) by 6.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.1 (very decisive), meaning 97.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.2%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 50.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 50.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.7%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 47.8%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 302 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 45.6%-54.6%) win rate for white (335 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.7%) win rate for white (5.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit has a 43.6% (90% CI: 39.6%-47.8%) win rate for white (396 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: From's Gambit, Bahr Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.