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Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit

33K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score29.1%Range (90% confident): 28.7% – 29.5%Based on 33K games
0%29.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 28.7% – 29.5%
Outcome Distribution
27.2%3.8%69.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
2.g4
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit
Analyzen=33K
Avg Length25 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.8%

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 29.1% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 28.7% and 29.5%), based on 33K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -39.2% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 19.4% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 27% → 34%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 27.1% win rate (8,683 games)
  • 1000-1199: 27.2% win rate (5,613 games)
  • 1200-1399: 29.9% win rate (5,380 games)
  • 1400-1599: 23.0% win rate (5,832 games)
  • 1600-1799: 29.9% win rate (3,758 games)
  • 1800-1999: 27.1% win rate (2,316 games)
  • 2000-2199: 27.9% win rate (1,209 games)
  • 2200-2499: 24.3% win rate (404 games)
  • 2500+: 34.1% win rate (82 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (33%), worst in Classical (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 32.9% win rate (243 games)
  • Bullet: 32.2% win rate (11,642 games)
  • Blitz: 26.7% win rate (14,752 games)
  • Rapid: 19.5% win rate (6,185 games)
  • Classical: 13.5% win rate (455 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.4% expected score (2,345 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.8% expected score (4,015 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 25.7% expected score (2,226 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 24.3% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.1% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (1,803 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.4% expected score (2,559 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 21.6% expected score (1,145 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 20.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (51 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 37.3% expected score (1,980 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (2,269 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 26.0% expected score (994 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 25.6% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 29.0% expected score (2,143 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 26.0% expected score (2,370 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 14.2% expected score (1,038 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 9.9% expected score (219 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.1% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 37.2% expected score (1,546 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 29.0% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 18.9% expected score (402 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 12.8% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 33.3% expected score (938 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 26.1% expected score (1,091 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 21.1% expected score (263 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 22.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 36.2% expected score (546 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (563 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 28.3% expected score (95 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 31.1% expected score (265 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 14.1% expected score (114 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.4% expected score (76 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 10.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bird Opening
50.1%
Variations (5)
Bird Opening: Batavo-Polish Attack
43.3%
Bird Opening: Double Duck Formation
50.1%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation
50.5%
Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Batavo Gambit
45.3%
Bird Opening: From's Gambit
48.6%
Analyze Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate?

The Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 27.2% (90% CI: 26.8%-27.6%) win rate for white, based on 33K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit perform best?

The Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 29.9% win rate for white (5.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (32.2%) outperforms Classical (13.5%) by 18.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit?

The Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 25 moves.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 27.1% (90% CI: 26.3%-27.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 27.2% (90% CI: 26.2%-28.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 29.9% (90% CI: 28.8%-30.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 23.0% (90% CI: 22.1%-23.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 29.9% (90% CI: 28.7%-31.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 27.1% (90% CI: 25.6%-28.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 27.9% (90% CI: 25.8%-30.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 24.3% (90% CI: 20.9%-27.9%) win rate for white, based on 404 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 32.9% (90% CI: 28.1%-37.9%) win rate for white (243 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 32.2% (90% CI: 31.5%-32.9%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 26.7% (90% CI: 26.2%-27.4%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 19.5% (90% CI: 18.7%-20.3%) win rate for white (6.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.

What is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit has a 13.5% (90% CI: 10.9%-16.2%) win rate for white (455 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

Is the Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit a good opening?

The Bird Opening: Dutch Variation, Dudweiler Gambit is slightly favors black with a 27.2% (90% CI: 26.8%-27.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.