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Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation

193K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.9%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.0%Based on 193K games
0%50.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.2%3.3%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.a4
Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation
Analyzen=193K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 50.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 51.0%), based on 193K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.4% win rate (1,034 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.8% win rate (2,997 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.7% win rate (8,637 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.5% win rate (18,960 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.7% win rate (33,279 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.9% win rate (46,360 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.3% win rate (44,468 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.4% win rate (30,931 games)
  • 2500+: 52.7% win rate (6,147 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.8% win rate (150 games)
  • Bullet: 50.9% win rate (93,892 games)
  • Blitz: 47.4% win rate (84,816 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (13,274 games)
  • Classical: 47.1% win rate (681 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (546 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (405 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.0% expected score (82 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (1,446 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (1,334 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (212 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (3,797 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (4,227 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (576 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 56.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.1% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (7,847 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (9,404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (1,567 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (104 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.0% expected score (48 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (12,915 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (16,601 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (3,490 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (225 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 71.8% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (17,665 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (24,116 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (4,298 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.9% expected score (255 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 43.1% expected score (13 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (22,013 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (19,985 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (2,397 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (60 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.0% expected score (22,183 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (8,083 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (647 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (5,480 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.8% expected score (661 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 193K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.7% win rate for white (6.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (47.1%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 47.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.3%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 19K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 31K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-60.4%) win rate for white (150 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white (94K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-47.7%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.5%-48.9%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation has a 47.1% (90% CI: 44.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (681 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Tate Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.