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Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation

495K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.3%Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.4%Based on 495K games
0%52.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.2% – 52.4%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%4.1%45.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.c5
Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation
Analyzen=495K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 52.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.2% and 52.4%), based on 495K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.3% win rate (10,975 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.5% win rate (23,392 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (42,649 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.3% win rate (66,385 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.5% win rate (81,025 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (92,362 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.1% win rate (93,839 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.7% win rate (71,012 games)
  • 2500+: 53.5% win rate (12,940 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.1% win rate (790 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (215,634 games)
  • Blitz: 49.1% win rate (233,892 games)
  • Rapid: 48.9% win rate (42,411 games)
  • Classical: 47.9% win rate (1,852 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (3,296 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (5,991 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (1,658 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (7,791 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (12,406 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (3,120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (125 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.9% expected score (14,185 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (23,017 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (5,153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 54.4% expected score (169 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 47.1% expected score (100 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (22,803 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (34,810 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (8,169 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.8% expected score (503 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.2% expected score (399 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (29,368 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (40,515 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (10,149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (594 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.5% expected score (78 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (37,883 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (45,695 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (8,321 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.4% expected score (385 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 71.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (43,964 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (45,580 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (4,145 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 65.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (44,849 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (24,471 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (1,660 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 74.4% expected score (17 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (11,495 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (1,407 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (36 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 495K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (13K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.7%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 3.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 66K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 81K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 92K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 94K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 71K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.2%-52.0%) win rate for white (790 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.9%) win rate for white (216K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.3%) win rate for white (234K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.3%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 46.0%-49.8%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Two Pawns Attack, Lasker Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.