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Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack

860 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.2%Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 59.0%Based on 860 games
0%56.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.5% – 59.0%
Outcome Distribution
54.4%3.7%42.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.d5
Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack
Analyzen=860
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.7%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 56.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.5% and 59.0%), based on 860 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 60% → 73%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1000-1199: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1200-1399: 65.5% win rate (13 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.5% win rate (47 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.4% win rate (109 games)
  • 1800-1999: 50.9% win rate (184 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (196 games)
  • 2200-2499: 61.4% win rate (302 games)
  • 2500+: 73.3% win rate (6 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (57%), worst in Classical (20%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 57.0% win rate (275 games)
  • Blitz: 53.4% win rate (537 games)
  • Rapid: 50.5% win rate (47 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (62 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (49 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (118 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (76 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (111 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.4% expected score (92 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (207 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 86.4% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 54.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 860 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 61.4% win rate for white (302 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (57.0%) outperforms Blitz (53.4%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack?

The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 48.4% (90% CI: 40.6%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 109 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 44.9%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 184 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 43.0%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 196 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 61.4% (90% CI: 56.8%-66.0%) win rate for white, based on 302 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 57.0% (90% CI: 52.0%-61.8%) win rate for white (275 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a 53.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-56.9%) win rate for white (537 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack is statistically favors white with a 54.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-57.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.