Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack
860 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
56.2%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 59.0%.
Measured over 860 games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 860 games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 860
- Best context
- not measured yet
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.3%
- Draws
- 3.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 70.0% at 0-999, 75.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 69.1% expected score (9 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (31 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (62 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (49 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (118 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (16 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (76 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (111 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 70.4% expected score (92 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.1% expected score (207 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack scores 56.2% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.5% and 59.0% — from 860 Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 860+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate?
Playing the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack, White wins 54.4%, draws 3.7% and loses 42.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.2%. It rests on 860 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack perform best?
The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 63.8% (302 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack?
The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 48.4%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 109 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 50.9%, draws 1.9% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 184 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 48.9%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 196 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 61.4%, draws 4.8% and loses 33.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 63.8%. It rests on 302 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 57.0%, draws 1.6% and loses 41.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.8%. It rests on 275 Lichess games.
What is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 53.4%, draws 4.7% and loses 41.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.8%. It rests on 537 Lichess games.
Is the Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack a good opening?
The Alekhine Defense: Modern Variation, Vitolins Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 54.4% of its games and loses 42.0%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.