TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation

47K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score56.3%Range (90% confident): 55.9% – 56.7%Based on 47K games
0%56.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.9% – 56.7%
Outcome Distribution
53.3%5.9%40.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
9.b3
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation
Analyzen=47K
Avg Length39 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 56.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.9% and 56.7%), based on 47K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 55%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (26 games)
  • 1400-1599: 57.8% win rate (124 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.7% win rate (522 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.9% win rate (3,463 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (13,777 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.6% win rate (22,743 games)
  • 2500+: 54.5% win rate (6,165 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 54.7% win rate (22,618 games)
  • Blitz: 52.0% win rate (23,022 games)
  • Rapid: 52.2% win rate (1,135 games)
  • Classical: 44.3% win rate (47 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199————
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (19 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 70.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (299 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (196 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (1,270 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (2,079 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (4,189 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9,216 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (343 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (11,699 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (10,409 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (626 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.0% expected score (5,055 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (1,080 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Alekhine Defense
50.7%
Variations (5)
Alekhine Defense: Balogh Variation
48.3%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation
50.9%
Alekhine Defense: Brooklyn Variation, Everglades Variation
53.3%
Alekhine Defense: Buckley Attack
49.7%
Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation
47.4%
Analyze Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate?

The Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 47K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation perform best?

The Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 54.5% win rate for white (6.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.7%) outperforms Rapid (52.2%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation?

The Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 57.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-64.9%) win rate for white, based on 124 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.1%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 522 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.5%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 53.6% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.2%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.5%) win rate for white (23K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-54.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.9%.

Is the Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation a good opening?

The Alekhine Defense: Exchange Variation, Voronezh Variation is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.9%-53.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.