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Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred

153K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.1%

45%60%
Floor51.9%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.3%.

Measured over 153K games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 153K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
153K
Best context
59.8% at 2500+ Blitz
Worst context
46.3% at 1000-1199 Bullet
Average game length
33 moves
Games that end decisively
96.7%
Draws
3.3%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +9.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 41.6% at 0-999, 59.9% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (130 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (643 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (652 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (124 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,089 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (2,459 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (489 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (3,933 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (6,534 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (1,355 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (54 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (7,325 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (12,791 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.4% expected score (153 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (10,377 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (21,699 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (3,988 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (159 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (13,562 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (22,188 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (2,899 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (73 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (14,494 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.4% expected score (15,365 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (3,512 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.8% expected score (1,063 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred scores 52.1% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.9% and 52.3% — from 153K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
153K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate?

Playing the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred, White wins 50.4%, draws 3.3% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 153K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.1% (4.6K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 51.7% in Blitz (83K games) against 51.4% in Rapid (13K games).

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 46.9%, draws 0.7% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 373 Lichess games, which average 24 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 46.0%, draws 1.6% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 48.1%, draws 2.0% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 5.0K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.0%, draws 2.2% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 50.0%, draws 2.4% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 23K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 50.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 36K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 50.6%, draws 3.5% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 39K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.5%, draws 4.6% and loses 44.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 31K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 53.3%, draws 5.5% and loses 41.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.1%. It rests on 4.6K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.6%, draws 2.4% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 56K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 49.8%, draws 3.8% and loses 46.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 83K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.1%, draws 4.6% and loses 46.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 48.6%, draws 6.0% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 460 Lichess games.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Wing Gambit Deferred is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 50.4% of its games and loses 46.3%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.