Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line
34K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.2%.
Measured over 34K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 34K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 34K
- Best context
- 53.4% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Worst context
- 49.1% at 1400-1599 Bullet
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.7%
- Draws
- 4.3%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 53.9% at 0-999, 56.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (38 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (26 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (140 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (133 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (27 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (400 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (474 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.8% expected score (115 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (898 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (1,512 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (323 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,602 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (3,384 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (716 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (37 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,029 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.8% expected score (5,087 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.1% expected score (1,134 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 55.4% expected score (63 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,975 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (4,592 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (897 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (32 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (1,977 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (4,431 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (441 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 45.7% expected score (10 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (855 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (997 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line scores 51.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.3% and 52.2% — from 34K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 34K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate?
Playing the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line, White wins 49.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 34K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line perform best?
The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line performs best for White at 2000-2199, with an Expected Score of 52.8% (7.5K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 51.7% in Blitz (21K games) against 52.3% in Rapid (3.7K games).
How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line?
The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 46.8%, draws 1.8% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 301 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 47.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 996 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.0% and loses 47.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 2.8K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 5.7K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 49.0%, draws 4.0% and loses 47.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 8.3K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.2% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 7.5K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 50.3%, draws 5.1% and loses 44.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 6.9K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 47.4%, draws 9.0% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.9%. It rests on 1.9K Lichess games, which average 41 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 49.9%, draws 3.3% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 9.9K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 49.4%, draws 4.6% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.7%. It rests on 21K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 49.5%, draws 5.6% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.3%. It rests on 3.7K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 49.3%, draws 9.4% and loses 41.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.0%. It rests on 174 Lichess games.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line a good opening?
The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 49.6% of its games and loses 46.1%. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.