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Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation

58K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.9%Based on 58K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.2% – 48.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.3%4.3%49.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...b5
Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation
Analyzen=58K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 48.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.2% and 48.9%), based on 58K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (71 games)
  • 1000-1199: 48.7% win rate (324 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.1% win rate (1,077 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.4% win rate (2,676 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.6% win rate (5,300 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.1% win rate (10,122 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.2% win rate (16,140 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.0% win rate (18,398 games)
  • 2500+: 41.8% win rate (4,174 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (14%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 47.2% win rate (15,694 games)
  • Blitz: 46.0% win rate (35,581 games)
  • Rapid: 46.0% win rate (6,658 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (347 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 71.8% expected score (49 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 38.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (159 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (139 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (393 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (518 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (160 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (770 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (1,452 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (436 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (1,173 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (3,138 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (925 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (63 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (2,055 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (6,420 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,547 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.6% expected score (100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (3,283 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (10,731 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (2,011 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (115 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (5,208 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (11,703 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (1,445 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 60.4% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (2,604 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (1,460 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (107 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 58K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (4.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.7%) outperforms Classical (45.5%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 44.5%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 324 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 45.3%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 44.5% (90% CI: 42.9%-46.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.9%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.1%-50.4%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.9%) win rate for white (36K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.3%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation has a 45.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-49.9%) win rate for white (347 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.4% (90% CI: 49.0%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.