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Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack

192K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.3%

40%55%
Floor47.1%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.5%.

Measured over 192K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 4.0 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 192K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
192K
Best context
57.0% at 2500+ Bullet
Worst context
43.4% at 1000-1199 Bullet
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
96.0%
Draws
4.0%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 38.6% at 0-999, 57.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (482 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (503 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (181 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (1,933 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,864 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (611 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (4,237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (5,449 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (1,583 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 49.1% expected score (54 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.7% expected score (8,401 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (14,346 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (3,660 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 47.1% expected score (184 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (11,868 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (28,275 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (7,214 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (408 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (12,296 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (34,220 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (9,215 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 45.0% expected score (378 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (8,675 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (18,426 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (4,312 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (106 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (5,155 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (5,969 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (976 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.3% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (957 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.7% expected score (298 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Continuations (4)
Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Leonhardt Variation
46.6%
Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Flank Variation
49.4%
Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Main Line
49.6%
Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, Fischer Variation
53.5%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack scores 47.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.1% and 47.5% — from 192K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
192K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate?

Playing the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack, White wins 45.3%, draws 4.0% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 192K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 58.0% (1.3K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.7% in Blitz (109K games) against 47.6% in Rapid (28K games).

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 43.2%, draws 2.8% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 44.3%, draws 2.5% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.6%. It rests on 4.4K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 44.1%, draws 2.7% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 44.3%, draws 3.2% and loses 52.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 27K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 44.2%, draws 3.6% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 48K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 45.1%, draws 4.2% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.2%. It rests on 56K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 46.7%, draws 4.7% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 50.1%, draws 5.5% and loses 44.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 12K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 54.5%, draws 6.9% and loses 38.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.0%. It rests on 1.3K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 45.3%, draws 2.6% and loses 52.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 54K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 45.5%, draws 4.3% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 109K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 45.0%, draws 5.1% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 28K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 41.9%, draws 6.7% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.3%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Sozin Attack is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 45.3% of its games and loses 50.7%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.