TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation

49K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.5%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 48.8%Based on 49K games
0%48.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 48.8%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%5.0%49.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Nf6
Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation
Analyzen=49K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 48.8%), based on 49K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 50.6% win rate (43 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.1% win rate (266 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (1,025 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.3% win rate (3,308 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.5% win rate (8,348 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (13,993 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (12,792 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.3% win rate (7,612 games)
  • 2500+: 40.3% win rate (1,944 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (47%), worst in UltraBullet (39%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.5% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 47.1% win rate (13,173 games)
  • Blitz: 45.9% win rate (30,305 games)
  • Rapid: 43.9% win rate (5,594 games)
  • Classical: 42.5% win rate (254 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (157 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 80.5% expected score (10 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (486 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (475 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 37.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (1,199 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (1,772 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (318 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (2,199 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (5,109 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (975 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (2,761 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (9,156 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,978 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (97 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,848 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (8,314 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.1% expected score (1,574 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.5% expected score (56 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (2,279 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (4,663 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (655 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (1,216 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (706 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 34.4% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 49K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (1.9K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Classical (47.9%) by 1.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 37.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 266 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.7%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 49.7%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.3%) win rate for white (5.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 42.8%-53.1%) win rate for white (254 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Scheveningen Variation, Modern Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.