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Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation

34K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.7%Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.2%Based on 34K games
0%49.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.3% – 50.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.7%6.1%47.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bd7
Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation
Analyzen=34K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 49.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.3% and 50.2%), based on 34K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.4% win rate (52 games)
  • 1000-1199: 39.9% win rate (145 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.7% win rate (544 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.6% win rate (1,412 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.2% win rate (2,558 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.3% win rate (4,020 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.9% win rate (6,767 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (12,395 games)
  • 2500+: 44.0% win rate (5,950 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (82%), worst in Rapid (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 81.8% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 47.3% win rate (11,480 games)
  • Blitz: 46.4% win rate (20,411 games)
  • Rapid: 44.6% win rate (1,867 games)
  • Classical: 49.1% win rate (81 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 62.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 37.4% expected score (82 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 43.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (257 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (247 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (596 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (136 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,030 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (1,288 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (226 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.7% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (1,303 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (2,362 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (330 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (1,536 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (4,734 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (478 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 62.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (3,558 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (8,259 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (565 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 57.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (3,078 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,790 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.5% expected score (77 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 34.6% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 34K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 58.4% win rate for white (145 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.3%) outperforms Classical (38.2%) by 10.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 58.4% (90% CI: 51.6%-65.0%) win rate for white, based on 145 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.0%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 544 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 46.4% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.5%-49.1%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.3%) win rate for white (20K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.4%-49.2%) win rate for white (1.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.1%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Modern Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.