Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation
9.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
47.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 48.1%.
Measured over 9.3K games at this level and clock.
White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for White
Draw 5.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 9.3K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 9.3K
- Best context
- 50.1% at 1400-1599 Blitz
- Worst context
- 45.4% at 2200-2499 Blitz
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.9%
- Draws
- 5.1%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 38.1% at 0-999, 49.2% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (72 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (30 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (188 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (129 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (18 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (449 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (561 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (64 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (706 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (873 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (166 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (759 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (1,094 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (230 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (724 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (906 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (182 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (933 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (683 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (84 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (361 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (60 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation scores 47.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.4% and 48.1% — from 9.3K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 9.3K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate?
Playing the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation, White wins 44.7%, draws 5.1% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 9.3K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation perform best?
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation performs best for White at 1400-1599, with an Expected Score of 50.1% (1.1K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 46.8% in Blitz (4.3K games) against 46.5% in Rapid (750 games).
How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation?
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 46.4%, draws 2.4% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 103 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 47.7%, draws 4.3% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.9%. It rests on 337 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.2%, draws 3.8% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.1%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 45.4%, draws 4.1% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 44.1%, draws 4.9% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 43.1%, draws 5.7% and loses 51.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.0%. It rests on 1.8K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 43.7%, draws 6.6% and loses 49.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 44.0%, draws 6.0% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 425 Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 46.0%, draws 3.8% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 4.2K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 43.8%, draws 6.0% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 4.3K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 43.0%, draws 6.9% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.5%. It rests on 750 Lichess games.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation a good opening?
The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Exchange Variation is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 44.7% of its games and loses 50.2%. It performs best at 1400-1599. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.