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Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation

39K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.4%Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.8%Based on 39K games
0%50.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.9% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%4.3%47.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...g6
Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation
Analyzen=39K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 50.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.9% and 50.8%), based on 39K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 60% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.6% win rate (110 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (515 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (1,946 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.6% win rate (5,088 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (8,761 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.0% win rate (9,545 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.6% win rate (6,266 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (4,853 games)
  • 2500+: 44.7% win rate (2,257 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (82%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 81.8% win rate (4 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (14,795 games)
  • Blitz: 47.7% win rate (20,839 games)
  • Rapid: 43.8% win rate (3,580 games)
  • Classical: 42.2% win rate (123 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 65.0% expected score (62 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (295 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (182 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 29.3% expected score (37 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (1,034 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (779 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (132 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (2,130 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (2,520 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (422 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (2,765 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (5,073 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (888 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (2,813 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (5,494 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (1,188 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (50 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (2,018 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (3,571 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.8% expected score (660 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,238 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (2,388 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.2% expected score (220 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (1,440 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (794 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (23 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 48.4% win rate for white (6.3K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.2%) outperforms Classical (46.2%) by 5.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 37.2% (90% CI: 29.9%-44.8%) win rate for white, based on 110 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 515 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 45.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 44.8%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.6%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.0%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.6%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation has a 46.2% (90% CI: 38.9%-53.5%) win rate for white (123 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Dragon Variation is statistically balanced with a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.