Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation

44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.3%Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 46.7%Based on 44K games
0%46.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.9% – 46.7%
Outcome Distribution
43.3%5.9%50.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
10.Qxd4
Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation
Analyzen=44K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 46.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.9% and 46.7%), based on 44K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 37% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.2% win rate (78 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.1% win rate (344 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.8% win rate (1,143 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.5% win rate (2,989 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.5% win rate (6,853 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.5% win rate (12,183 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.9% win rate (14,740 games)
  • 2500+: 41.9% win rate (5,873 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Classical (36%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (12,302 games)
  • Blitz: 43.2% win rate (27,806 games)
  • Rapid: 36.7% win rate (3,882 games)
  • Classical: 36.1% win rate (219 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 64.9% expected score (49 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (21 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 44.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (180 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (144 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (450 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.9% expected score (593 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 20.7% expected score (89 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 34.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (883 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (1,762 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 36.5% expected score (320 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.4% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (1,488 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (4,531 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (759 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.3% expected score (74 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (2,523 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (8,288 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (1,317 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 38.5% expected score (55 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (3,848 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (9,647 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (1,204 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,877 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.7% expected score (2,817 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.4% expected score (164 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 44K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.9% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (55.7%) outperforms Classical (51.5%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 344 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 53.5%-58.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.4%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.9%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 6.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 10.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.9%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.9%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-57.0%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 45.9%-57.0%) win rate for white (219 Lichess games). Draw rate is 12.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Richter-Rauzer Variation, Classical Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.