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Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation

86K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.5%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 49.8%Based on 86K games
0%49.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 49.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.0%3.0%49.0%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Qc7
Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation
Analyzen=86K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 49.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 49.8%), based on 86K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~42%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 41.7% win rate (3,104 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.6% win rate (5,144 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.0% win rate (8,052 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (13,305 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.3% win rate (18,148 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (17,637 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.9% win rate (12,131 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (7,128 games)
  • 2500+: 41.7% win rate (1,131 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 48.8% win rate (180 games)
  • Bullet: 48.9% win rate (24,331 games)
  • Blitz: 48.5% win rate (49,304 games)
  • Rapid: 44.3% win rate (11,301 games)
  • Classical: 40.2% win rate (664 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (840 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (1,516 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 37.4% expected score (733 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (31 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.3% expected score (1,023 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (2,997 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,058 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (35 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (1,532 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (4,411 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.0% expected score (2,007 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.4% expected score (63 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.0% expected score (69 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.5% expected score (3,026 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (7,759 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (2,256 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.7% expected score (195 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 33.1% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (3,541 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (12,306 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (2,077 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.3% expected score (196 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (5,676 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (9,775 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (2,044 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (136 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,071 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (8,426 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (603 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (29 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (4,524 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (2,087 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (517 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (1,098 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 23.4% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 86K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 56.1% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (51.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.3%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.2%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 51.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 53.7%-58.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 43.2%-55.4%) win rate for white (180 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.9%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.7%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.5%-52.1%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.9%) win rate for white (664 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Quinteros Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.