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Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation

8.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score52.1%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 53.0%Based on 8.6K games
0%52.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 53.0%
Outcome Distribution
50.0%4.2%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...e5
Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation
Analyzen=8.6K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 52.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 53.0%), based on 8.6K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 8% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 7.7% win rate (5 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.2% win rate (35 games)
  • 1200-1399: 48.9% win rate (206 games)
  • 1400-1599: 40.5% win rate (395 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.9% win rate (1,045 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.1% win rate (2,240 games)
  • 2000-2199: 51.6% win rate (2,663 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (1,856 games)
  • 2500+: 57.8% win rate (174 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Classical (33%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.6% win rate (3,146 games)
  • Blitz: 48.9% win rate (4,722 games)
  • Rapid: 42.4% win rate (724 games)
  • Classical: 33.3% win rate (27 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 35.2% expected score (12 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (92 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 20.4% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (225 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (68 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (294 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (594 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (601 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,396 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (234 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (829 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.9% expected score (1,614 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (213 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (1,090 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (725 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.7% expected score (111 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (62 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 56.9% win rate for white (395 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.2%) outperforms Bullet (43.6%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 43.2%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 206 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 56.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 395 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 45.8%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.8%-45.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 41.4%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 37.3% (90% CI: 31.4%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 174 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.2%-45.1%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-47.7%) win rate for white (4.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-53.3%) win rate for white (724 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Pin Variation, Jaffe Variation is slightly favors black with a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.9%-46.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.