Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit
5.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
54.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 56.0%.
Measured over 5.1K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 5.1K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 5.1K
- Best context
- 59.3% at 2200-2499 Blitz
- Worst context
- 57.0% at 2200-2499 Bullet
- Average game length
- 34 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.2%
- Draws
- 3.8%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 60.4% at 0-999, 68.3% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 63.2% expected score (25 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (21 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (65 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (83 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.7% expected score (19 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (136 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.5% expected score (159 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 39.9% expected score (53 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (168 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.0% expected score (251 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (88 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (195 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (347 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 43.2% expected score (64 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (219 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.9% expected score (308 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (57 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (228 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.5% expected score (479 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 37.6% expected score (51 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (4 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (539 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 59.3% expected score (933 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.2% expected score (52 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.8% expected score (446 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 66.6% expected score (134 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit scores 54.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 53.7% and 56.0% — from 5.1K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 5.1K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate?
Playing the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit, White wins 52.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 43.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 5.1K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit perform best?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 61.6% (582 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit scores higher in Blitz: an Expected Score of 54.7% in Blitz (2.7K games) against 47.5% in Rapid (392 games).
How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 50.7%, draws 1.5% and loses 47.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 167 Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 48.2%, draws 3.0% and loses 48.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.7%. It rests on 348 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 50.0%, draws 2.1% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.1%. It rests on 507 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 48.7%, draws 3.2% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 609 Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 49.3%, draws 3.3% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 586 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 51.4%, draws 4.6% and loses 43.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.8%. It rests on 762 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 56.4%, draws 4.4% and loses 39.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 58.6%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 58.7%, draws 5.7% and loses 35.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 61.6%. It rests on 582 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 55.3%, draws 2.6% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 52.3%, draws 4.7% and loses 43.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.7%. It rests on 2.7K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 45.4%, draws 4.2% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 392 Lichess games.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit a good opening?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Lutikov Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 52.9% of its games and loses 43.3%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.