Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit
12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
54.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 55.5%.
Measured over 12K games at this level and clock.
A strong choice for White at this level and clock.
Outcomes for White
Draw 6.8 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 12K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 12K
- Best context
- 59.7% at 2500+ Blitz
- Worst context
- 50.6% at 1800-1999 Blitz
- Average game length
- 35 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 93.2%
- Draws
- 6.8%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 29.5% at 0-999, 55.0% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (20 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (35 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (34 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (68 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (90 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (184 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (29 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (233 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (788 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (117 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (512 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (2,202 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 61.7% expected score (265 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (1,154 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (4,035 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.0% expected score (415 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 62.9% expected score (14 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (1,108 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.7% expected score (811 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.7% expected score (43 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit scores 54.8% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 54.1% and 55.5% — from 12K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 12K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate?
Playing the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit, White wins 51.4%, draws 6.8% and loses 41.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.8%. It rests on 12K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit perform best?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit performs best for White at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 55.9% (5.6K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 55.1% in Blitz (8.1K games) against 59.1% in Rapid (893 games).
How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit has a sharpness score of 93.2 (decisive), meaning 93.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 48.9%, draws 3.8% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.9%. It rests on 116 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 46.6%, draws 2.5% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 304 Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 48.7%, draws 3.4% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 1.1K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 52.0%, draws 4.9% and loses 43.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.4%. It rests on 3.0K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 53.3%, draws 5.2% and loses 41.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.9%. It rests on 5.6K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 47.9%, draws 17.3% and loses 34.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.6%. It rests on 2.0K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 48.0%, draws 9.8% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 3.2K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 52.3%, draws 5.5% and loses 42.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 55.1%. It rests on 8.1K Lichess games.
What is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 55.4%, draws 7.4% and loses 37.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 59.1%. It rests on 893 Lichess games.
Is the Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit a good opening?
The Sicilian Defense: Nyezhmetdinov-Rossolimo Attack, Fianchetto Variation, Gufeld Gambit is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 51.4% of its games and loses 41.8%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.