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Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation

7.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score54.8%Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 55.8%Based on 7.8K games
0%54.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 53.9% – 55.8%
Outcome Distribution
52.9%3.9%43.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
7...Nbd7
Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation
Analyzen=7.8K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.9%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 54.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 53.9% and 55.8%), based on 7.8K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.0% win rate (54 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.1% win rate (261 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.4% win rate (682 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.9% win rate (1,494 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.2% win rate (2,024 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.0% win rate (1,750 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.6% win rate (1,235 games)
  • 2500+: 44.3% win rate (300 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (54%), worst in Classical (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 53.5% win rate (2,164 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (4,753 games)
  • Rapid: 49.6% win rate (845 games)
  • Classical: 42.6% win rate (49 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 60.2% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (101 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.0% expected score (135 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (222 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (365 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.6% expected score (88 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (337 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (940 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (404 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 55.8% expected score (1,324 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (404 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (1,142 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (194 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (449 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (733 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (51 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (212 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (300 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (44.0%) outperforms Blitz (42.5%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a sharpness score of 96.1 (very decisive), meaning 96.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 40.9%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 261 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 42.6% (90% CI: 39.6%-45.8%) win rate for white, based on 682 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 41.5%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 41.0%-44.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 42.0% (90% CI: 40.1%-44.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 43.4% (90% CI: 41.1%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 44.9%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 300 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 44.0% (90% CI: 42.2%-45.7%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.4%-43.7%) win rate for white (4.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.1%-47.8%) win rate for white (845 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Najdorf Variation, Scheveningen Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.3%-44.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.