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Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.6%Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.2%Based on 25K games
0%48.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.1% – 49.2%
Outcome Distribution
46.0%5.3%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
8...Be6
Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 48.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.1% and 49.2%), based on 25K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 41.9% win rate (14 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.7% win rate (84 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.3% win rate (538 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (2,135 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.4% win rate (6,021 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.9% win rate (8,036 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.6% win rate (6,742 games)
  • 2500+: 42.9% win rate (1,053 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (49%), worst in Rapid (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 42.9% win rate (2 games)
  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (8,370 games)
  • Blitz: 44.7% win rate (14,074 games)
  • Rapid: 42.6% win rate (2,111 games)
  • Classical: 43.9% win rate (68 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999————
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (46 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (303 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (214 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (766 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (1,220 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (1,632 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (3,792 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (571 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.0% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (2,402 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (4,720 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (889 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (2,508 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.6% expected score (3,764 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (459 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (701 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (328 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (8.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.2%) outperforms Classical (43.9%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a sharpness score of 94.7 (decisive), meaning 94.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 43.6%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 538 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 47.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 46.8%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 45 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-48.6%) win rate for white (8.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.9%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.6%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Lasker-Pelikan Variation, Bird Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.