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Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation

32K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.9%Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 49.3%Based on 32K games
0%48.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.4% – 49.3%
Outcome Distribution
46.5%4.7%48.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bd7
Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation
Analyzen=32K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 48.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.4% and 49.3%), based on 32K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.0% win rate (510 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.2% win rate (979 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.4% win rate (2,557 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.9% win rate (5,024 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.1% win rate (6,592 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.1% win rate (6,522 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.4% win rate (4,213 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.0% win rate (4,011 games)
  • 2500+: 45.1% win rate (1,733 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (48%), worst in UltraBullet (30%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 30.4% win rate (10 games)
  • Bullet: 47.7% win rate (8,802 games)
  • Blitz: 46.3% win rate (17,679 games)
  • Rapid: 45.3% win rate (5,328 games)
  • Classical: 43.1% win rate (322 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (351 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (125 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 65.5% expected score (34 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (366 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (479 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 59.3% expected score (133 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (733 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (1,377 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (438 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (1,158 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (2,802 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (1,002 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 52.6% expected score (58 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (1,598 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (3,428 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.6% expected score (1,434 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.8% expected score (131 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.7% expected score (1,565 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (3,578 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (1,279 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (100 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (1,165 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (2,498 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (529 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,097 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (2,443 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (464 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (769 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (949 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 25.8% expected score (15 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 32K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (6.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (49.0%) outperforms Classical (49.3%) by -0.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.3%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 510 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 46.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 979 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 5.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 46.5%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 47.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.6%) win rate for white (8.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.6%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 48.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-49.6%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 44.7%-53.9%) win rate for white (322 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Kupreichik Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.8% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.