TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon

2.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.5%Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.6%Based on 2.2M games
0%50.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.5% – 50.6%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%4.1%47.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...g6
Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon
Analyzen=2.2M
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 50.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.5% and 50.6%), based on 2.2M Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.3% win rate (38,650 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (107,298 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.3% win rate (219,242 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.7% win rate (352,664 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.7% win rate (459,067 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.0% win rate (471,319 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.3% win rate (326,086 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (188,781 games)
  • 2500+: 41.5% win rate (35,865 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Blitz (48%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.0% win rate (1,351 games)
  • Bullet: 49.0% win rate (636,416 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (1,206,177 games)
  • Rapid: 48.6% win rate (342,228 games)
  • Classical: 49.6% win rate (12,800 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (14,141 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (17,260 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (7,118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (190 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (37,074 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (52,696 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (17,079 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (259 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (272 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (63,083 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (117,390 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (37,722 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (775 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (463 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (89,671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (192,819 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (67,336 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (2,375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (114,172 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (258,616 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (81,537 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (4,541 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (111,760 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (275,660 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (80,115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (3,701 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (96,626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (188,776 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (39,761 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (891 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (85,070 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (92,370 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (11,139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (183 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (24,819 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (10,590 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (421 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (36K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.1%) outperforms Classical (44.1%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.7%-45.5%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 107K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 219K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 47.1% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 353K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 459K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 47.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 471K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 326K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 48.4% (90% CI: 48.3%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 189K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 45.7% (90% CI: 43.4%-47.9%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 48.1% (90% CI: 48.0%-48.2%) win rate for white (636K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.3%-47.5%) win rate for white (1.2M Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.7%) win rate for white (342K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.8%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.3%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon is statistically balanced with a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.