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Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon

2.2M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

50.5%

45%55%
Floor50.5%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 2.2M games at this level and clock.

Playablewins about as often as it loses at this level

Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.2M games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
2.2M
Best context
56.8% at 1400-1599 Classical
Worst context
42.6% at 2500+ Blitz
Average game length
34 moves
Games that end decisively
95.9%
Draws
4.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 53.3% at 0-999, 41.4% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (86 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (14,141 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (17,260 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (7,118 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (45 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (190 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (37,074 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (52,696 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (17,079 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.6% expected score (259 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.6% expected score (272 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (63,083 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (117,390 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (37,722 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 55.8% expected score (775 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (463 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.5% expected score (89,671 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (192,819 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.0% expected score (67,336 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 56.8% expected score (2,375 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 48.6% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (114,172 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (258,616 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (81,537 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 54.0% expected score (4,541 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (83 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (111,760 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (275,660 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (80,115 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (3,701 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 36.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (96,626 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.1% expected score (188,776 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (39,761 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.5% expected score (891 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (85,070 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (92,370 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.1% expected score (11,139 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.0% expected score (183 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (24,819 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (10,590 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.7% expected score (421 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (30 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon scores 50.5% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 50.5% and 50.6% — from 2.2M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
2.2M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate?

Playing the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon, Black wins 48.4%, draws 4.1% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 2.2M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 53.6% (39K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 50.4% in Blitz (1.2M games) against 51.0% in Rapid (342K games).

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 52.3%, draws 2.5% and loses 45.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.6%. It rests on 39K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 50.7%, draws 2.5% and loses 46.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.0%. It rests on 107K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 50.3%, draws 2.8% and loses 46.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 219K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 49.7%, draws 3.2% and loses 47.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 353K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 48.7%, draws 3.7% and loses 47.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 459K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 48.0%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.3%. It rests on 471K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 47.3%, draws 5.3% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.0%. It rests on 326K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 45.4%, draws 6.1% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 189K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 41.5%, draws 8.2% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.6%. It rests on 36K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, Black wins 53.0%, draws 1.3% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.7%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 49.0%, draws 2.9% and loses 48.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.5%. It rests on 636K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 48.1%, draws 4.5% and loses 47.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.4%. It rests on 1.2M Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 48.6%, draws 4.8% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.0%. It rests on 342K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 49.6%, draws 6.3% and loses 44.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.8%. It rests on 13K Lichess games.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Hyperaccelerated Dragon is about level. Across all ratings, Black wins 48.4% of its games and loses 47.4%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.