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Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack

2.1M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

52.4%

45%60%
Floor52.3%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. Its best is the same figure — the band is too tight to plot.

Measured over 2.1M games at this level and clock.

Play Thiswins clearly more often than it loses at this level

A strong choice for White at this level and clock.

Outcomes for White

Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 2.1M games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
2.1M
Best context
59.2% at 2500+ Blitz
Worst context
47.4% at 0-999 Rapid
Average game length
34 moves
Games that end decisively
96.3%
Draws
3.7%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 47.1% at 0-999, 58.8% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 52.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (3,964 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (4,443 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,159 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (44 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (15,522 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (13,581 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (3,392 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 53.0% expected score (117 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (37,788 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (35,893 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.9% expected score (8,868 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (173 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.3% expected score (256 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (78,382 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (92,796 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.3% expected score (19,535 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.8% expected score (804 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 52.3% expected score (397 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (131,343 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (193,535 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (38,806 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (1,994 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 59.2% expected score (210 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (197,564 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (299,538 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (53,799 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (2,661 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 55.3% expected score (102 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (204,678 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (248,629 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (38,836 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 51.7% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 54.2% expected score (177,473 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (110,523 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (11,540 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (228 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (37,818 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 59.2% expected score (5,217 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (272 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Continuations (1)
Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack, Schofman Variation
55.0%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack scores 52.4% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 52.3% and 52.4% — from 2.1M Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
2.1M+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate?

Playing the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack, White wins 50.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 45.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 2.1M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.7% (43K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 52.2% in Blitz (1.0M games) against 51.6% in Rapid (176K games).

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 48.0%, draws 2.4% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.2%. It rests on 9.6K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 49.5%, draws 2.1% and loses 48.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 33K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 49.4%, draws 2.3% and loses 48.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.6%. It rests on 83K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 49.4%, draws 2.7% and loses 47.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 192K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 49.8%, draws 3.0% and loses 47.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 366K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 50.2%, draws 3.7% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.1%. It rests on 554K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 50.7%, draws 4.2% and loses 45.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.9%. It rests on 494K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 51.9%, draws 4.8% and loses 43.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.3%. It rests on 300K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 53.8%, draws 5.8% and loses 40.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.7%. It rests on 43K Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 53.5%, draws 1.3% and loses 45.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 54.2%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 51.2%, draws 2.9% and loses 45.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.7%. It rests on 885K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 50.0%, draws 4.3% and loses 45.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.2%. It rests on 1.0M Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 49.1%, draws 4.9% and loses 46.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.6%. It rests on 176K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, White wins 48.3%, draws 6.3% and loses 45.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 7.3K Lichess games.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Grand Prix Attack is good for White. Across all ratings, White wins 50.5% of its games and loses 45.8%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.