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Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation

313K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.7%Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 51.8%Based on 313K games
0%51.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.5% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
49.8%3.6%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Qb6
Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation
Analyzen=313K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 51.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 51.8%), based on 313K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 45%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.7% win rate (1,024 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.2% win rate (4,515 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.8% win rate (17,449 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.5% win rate (44,246 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (78,739 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.0% win rate (81,738 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.8% win rate (44,620 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.1% win rate (32,706 games)
  • 2500+: 44.8% win rate (8,035 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (51%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 47.5% win rate (29 games)
  • Bullet: 51.3% win rate (110,923 games)
  • Blitz: 49.3% win rate (165,908 games)
  • Rapid: 47.8% win rate (35,073 games)
  • Classical: 46.6% win rate (1,139 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (687 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (275 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (2,279 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.9% expected score (1,913 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 51.9% expected score (318 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 32.4% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.4% expected score (7,662 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (8,548 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.6% expected score (1,214 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (18 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 54.5% expected score (14,578 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (24,526 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (4,992 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (140 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (22,255 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (45,984 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (10,124 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (367 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (25,077 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (43,817 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (12,364 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.0% expected score (479 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (17,856 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (22,256 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (4,395 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 43.5% expected score (113 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (15,525 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (15,703 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (1,464 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (14 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (5,004 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (2,886 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 52.1% expected score (141 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 31.8% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 313K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.1% win rate for white (8.0K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (47.4%) outperforms Classical (47.2%) by 0.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 44.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 44.0%-46.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.7%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.3% (90% CI: 46.1%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.9%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 82K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.4%-47.2%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 8.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.1% (90% CI: 45.8%-46.3%) win rate for white (111K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.9%) win rate for white (166K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 47.0%-47.8%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 44.8%-49.6%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Godiva Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-46.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.