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Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation

410 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 43.7% – 51.8%Based on 410 games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.7% – 51.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.6%4.3%50.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...h5
Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation
Analyzen=410
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a 47.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 43.7% and 51.8%), based on 410 Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 14% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 14.3% win rate (2 games)
  • 1000-1199: 27.3% win rate (4 games)
  • 1200-1399: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
  • 1600-1799: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.8% win rate (75 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.3% win rate (127 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.6% win rate (121 games)
  • 2500+: 43.8% win rate (43 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in Rapid (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.7% win rate (136 games)
  • Blitz: 45.9% win rate (248 games)
  • Rapid: 43.4% win rate (25 games)
  • Classical: 60.0% win rate (1 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799—
1800-1999——
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 36.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (56 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 45.7% expected score (92 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (67 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (9 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 410 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 49.4% win rate for white (127 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.7%) outperforms Blitz (49.1%) by 3.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 42.2%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 127 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 40.4%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 121 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a 52.7% (90% CI: 45.7%-59.7%) win rate for white (136 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation has a 49.1% (90% CI: 43.9%-54.3%) win rate for white (248 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Gloria Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 46.1%-54.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.