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Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation

100K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score49.4%Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 49.7%Based on 100K games
0%49.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.2% – 49.7%
Outcome Distribution
47.7%3.3%48.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Qc7
Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation
Analyzen=100K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 49.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.2% and 49.7%), based on 100K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 53% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.4% win rate (892 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.9% win rate (4,000 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.6% win rate (12,446 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.1% win rate (22,278 games)
  • 1600-1799: 47.3% win rate (28,277 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.4% win rate (18,297 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.0% win rate (8,313 games)
  • 2200-2499: 47.5% win rate (4,609 games)
  • 2500+: 43.9% win rate (419 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (71%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 71.4% win rate (9 games)
  • Bullet: 50.0% win rate (29,603 games)
  • Blitz: 47.1% win rate (54,673 games)
  • Rapid: 45.8% win rate (14,604 games)
  • Classical: 43.1% win rate (642 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (502 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (350 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 36.8% expected score (40 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (1,905 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (1,807 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (285 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (4,523 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.2% expected score (6,792 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (1,118 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (6,039 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (12,871 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (3,270 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (92 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (6,446 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (16,851 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.7% expected score (4,631 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (349 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (4,685 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (9,936 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (3,541 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (135 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (2,572 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (4,354 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (1,340 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.1% expected score (2,632 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (1,603 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (369 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (299 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (109 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 32.6% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 100K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 50.1% win rate for white (18K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (50.4%) outperforms Bullet (47.6%) by 2.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 42.7%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 892 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.3%-48.8%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 46.2%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 43.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 419 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.1%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.6%) win rate for white (55K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.1%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.3%-54.8%) win rate for white (642 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Flohr Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.