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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack

286K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.4%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 47.6%Based on 286K games
0%47.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.2%4.4%50.4%
Win
Draw
Loss
12.Bb3
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack
Analyzen=286K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 47.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 47.6%), based on 286K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.5% win rate (288 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.6% win rate (1,372 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.9% win rate (5,217 games)
  • 1400-1599: 43.1% win rate (16,425 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.5% win rate (40,886 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.6% win rate (71,734 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.4% win rate (79,181 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.7% win rate (60,482 games)
  • 2500+: 43.7% win rate (10,863 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (54%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.6% win rate (33 games)
  • Bullet: 45.8% win rate (91,743 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (163,063 games)
  • Rapid: 43.8% win rate (29,860 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (1,749 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (154 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (708 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (445 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (2,408 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (2,139 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (650 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (6,436 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (7,894 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (1,981 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (12,370 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (23,417 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (4,703 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (386 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (16,629 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (45,041 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (9,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (778 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (20,442 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (49,401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (8,970 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (367 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (24,577 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (31,983 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (3,834 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (8,019 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (2,665 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (173 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Continuations (10)
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line
50.9%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line
52.6%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line
57.3%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line
46.5%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation
51.2%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations
51.1%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Czerniak Variation
47.0%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation
45.2%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation
49.6%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation
49.3%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 286K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 55.6% win rate for white (5.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.9%) outperforms Classical (50.1%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 49.6% (90% CI: 44.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 288 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.5%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 55.6% (90% CI: 54.5%-56.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 16K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 41K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.6%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 79K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 48.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white (92K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.3%) win rate for white (163K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.1%) win rate for white (30K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.1%-52.0%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack is statistically favors white with a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.