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Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack

286K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Analyze this line move by move

Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds

47.4%

40%55%
Floor47.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 47.6%.

Measured over 286K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for Black

Draw 4.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 286K games

Rank among the families Black can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
286K
Best context
49.8% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Worst context
42.4% at 1200-1399 Rapid
Average game length
35 moves
Games that end decisively
95.6%
Draws
4.4%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 52.6% at 0-999, 42.5% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (154 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (708 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (445 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (214 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 86.4% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (2,408 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (2,139 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 42.4% expected score (650 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (6,436 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (7,894 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.3% expected score (1,981 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (105 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (12,370 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.5% expected score (23,417 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (4,703 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.7% expected score (386 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (16,629 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (45,041 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (9,282 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (778 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (20,442 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (49,401 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (8,970 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (367 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (24,577 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (31,983 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (3,834 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 41.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (8,019 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (2,665 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 40.0% expected score (173 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Continuations (10)
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Modern Line
50.9%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Belezky Line
52.6%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Main Line
57.3%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Old Line
46.5%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Panov Variation
51.2%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Early Deviations
51.1%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Czerniak Variation
47.0%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Sosonko Variation
45.2%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Byrne Variation
49.6%
Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Soltis Variation
49.3%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack scores 47.4% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 47.2% and 47.6% — from 286K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
286K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate?

Playing the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack, Black wins 45.2%, draws 4.4% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 286K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack performs best for Black at 2200-2499, with an Expected Score of 49.4% (60K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack better in blitz or rapid?

For Black, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 47.5% in Blitz (163K games) against 46.6% in Rapid (30K games).

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, Black wins 48.5%, draws 1.9% and loses 49.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.5%. It rests on 288 Lichess games, which average 26 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, Black wins 43.6%, draws 1.7% and loses 54.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 1.4K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, Black wins 41.9%, draws 2.5% and loses 55.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.2%. It rests on 5.2K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, Black wins 43.1%, draws 2.9% and loses 54.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.6%. It rests on 16K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, Black wins 43.5%, draws 3.3% and loses 53.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.2%. It rests on 41K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.6%, draws 4.2% and loses 51.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 72K Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, Black wins 46.4%, draws 4.7% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.8%. It rests on 79K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, Black wins 46.7%, draws 5.4% and loses 48.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.4%. It rests on 60K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, Black wins 43.7%, draws 6.2% and loses 50.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, Black wins 45.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 50.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 92K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, Black wins 45.1%, draws 4.8% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.5%. It rests on 163K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, Black wins 43.8%, draws 5.5% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.6%. It rests on 30K Lichess games.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical, Black wins 42.9%, draws 7.0% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 1.7K Lichess games.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Yugoslav Attack is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 45.2% of its games and loses 50.4%. It performs best at 2200-2499. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.