919 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a 47.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.8% and 50.2%), based on 919 Lichess games.
Improves with rating: 20% → 39%
Best in UltraBullet (60%), worst in Blitz (44%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 919 rated games from Lichess.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 49.5% win rate for white (470 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (51.8%) outperforms Rapid (40.5%) by 11.3%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.8%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 277 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a 49.5% (90% CI: 45.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 470 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 46.7%-56.9%) win rate for white (260 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-53.4%) win rate for white (601 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.
The Sicilian Defense: Dragon Variation, Classical Variation, Tartakower Line is statistically balanced with a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-52.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.