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Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2

22K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score48.8%Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.4%Based on 22K games
0%48.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.3% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
45.7%6.1%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...e5
Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2
Analyzen=22K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 48.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 48.3% and 49.4%), based on 22K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 46%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 55.6% win rate (12 games)
  • 1000-1199: 37.6% win rate (45 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.2% win rate (123 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.2% win rate (326 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.9% win rate (959 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.4% win rate (3,657 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (7,402 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.3% win rate (7,369 games)
  • 2500+: 46.1% win rate (1,714 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (58%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 46.4% win rate (9,207 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (11,248 games)
  • Rapid: 46.2% win rate (1,088 games)
  • Classical: 58.0% win rate (58 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 36.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.8% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (101 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (166 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (293 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (558 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (94 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (1,016 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 48.3% expected score (2,408 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.5% expected score (215 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 58.2% expected score (17 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (2,226 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (4,692 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 51.6% expected score (460 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.7% expected score (24 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (3,984 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (3,153 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (231 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (1,522 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (184 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 29.0% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 22K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 52.5% win rate for white (959 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.1%) outperforms Classical (34.5%) by 14.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 47.0% (90% CI: 39.7%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 49.6% (90% CI: 45.1%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 326 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 52.5% (90% CI: 49.9%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 959 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 48.9% (90% CI: 47.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-48.2%) win rate for white, based on 7.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.9%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 49.1% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.9%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.6%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 has a 44.2% (90% CI: 41.7%-46.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.6%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Closed, Botvinnik Defense, with Nge2 is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.6%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.