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Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation

38K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score51.1%Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.5%Based on 38K games
0%51.1%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.7% – 51.5%
Outcome Distribution
48.7%4.7%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Qb6
Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation
Analyzen=38K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 51.1% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.7% and 51.5%), based on 38K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 71% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 70.7% win rate (19 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (149 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (453 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.8% win rate (1,344 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.4% win rate (2,941 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.2% win rate (5,567 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (9,932 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.9% win rate (13,931 games)
  • 2500+: 42.0% win rate (3,624 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (52%), worst in Rapid (48%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 49.6% win rate (9,667 games)
  • Blitz: 48.4% win rate (24,674 games)
  • Rapid: 48.3% win rate (3,414 games)
  • Classical: 52.1% win rate (205 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 73.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.7% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 67.4% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.0% expected score (149 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (232 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (69 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (397 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (725 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.1% expected score (215 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 53.1% expected score (744 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (1,710 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (463 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.8% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (1,080 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.1% expected score (3,641 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (764 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.8% expected score (82 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (1,855 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.5% expected score (7,010 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.7% expected score (1,004 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.3% expected score (63 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (3,514 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (9,568 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (827 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 39.4% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (1,858 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (1,704 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (60 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Sicilian Defense
48.5%
Variations (5)
Sicilian Defense: Bowdler Attack
47.2%
Sicilian Defense: Old Sicilian
48.5%
Sicilian Defense: Closed
49.8%
Sicilian Defense: Alapin Variation
50.2%
Sicilian Defense: McDonnell Attack
48.6%
Analyze Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 38K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation perform best?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.8% win rate for white (3.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (46.6%) outperforms Classical (40.0%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 40.9%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 149 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 1.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 44.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 453 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 43.0%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.3%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.0%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 44.6% (90% CI: 43.8%-45.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.9%-48.3%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 46.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-47.7%) win rate for white (9.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 46.6% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.1%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.3%-47.1%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation has a 40.0% (90% CI: 34.4%-45.6%) win rate for white (205 Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.0%.

Is the Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation a good opening?

The Sicilian Defense: Classical Variation, Anti-Sozin Variation is statistically balanced with a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.1%-47.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.