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Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined

207K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
Black Expected Score50.8%Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.0%Based on 207K games
0%50.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.6% – 51.0%
Outcome Distribution
48.4%4.7%46.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...d5
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined
Analyzen=207K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 50.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 50.6% and 51.0%), based on 207K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: +6.4% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 52.3% win rate (3,177 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.3% win rate (5,524 games)
  • 1200-1399: 52.7% win rate (10,226 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (17,841 games)
  • 1600-1799: 51.2% win rate (29,115 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.5% win rate (46,024 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (54,465 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.1% win rate (35,867 games)
  • 2500+: 43.4% win rate (5,203 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~50%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.4% win rate (281 games)
  • Bullet: 48.1% win rate (79,112 games)
  • Blitz: 48.1% win rate (102,758 games)
  • Rapid: 50.3% win rate (24,258 games)
  • Classical: 49.7% win rate (1,033 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (779 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.9% expected score (1,704 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (687 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.3% expected score (1,578 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (2,709 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,200 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 52.6% expected score (3,042 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (5,083 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.1% expected score (2,008 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 44.9% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 58.0% expected score (74 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (4,922 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.2% expected score (9,308 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (3,390 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (147 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 49.3% expected score (65 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.3% expected score (8,049 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.4% expected score (15,734 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (5,064 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 55.9% expected score (203 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.2% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (14,037 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (25,693 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (5,865 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 54.3% expected score (404 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (20,630 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 49.4% expected score (29,091 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (4,552 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 47.6% expected score (160 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 37.7% expected score (35 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (21,485 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (12,857 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.6% expected score (1,465 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (4,590 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.4% expected score (579 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (27 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 207K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined perform best?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 49.6% win rate for white (5.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (48.2%) outperforms Classical (43.4%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 43.8% (90% CI: 42.4%-45.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.5%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 44.6% (90% CI: 44.0%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 47.2% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 46K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 54K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 49.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 47.6% (90% CI: 42.7%-52.5%) win rate for white (281 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.5%) win rate for white (79K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 46.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-46.8%) win rate for white (103K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 44.1% (90% CI: 43.6%-44.6%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined has a 43.4% (90% CI: 40.8%-45.9%) win rate for white (1.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Göring Gambit Declined is statistically balanced with a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.7%-47.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.