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Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation

121K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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Black Expected Score56.7%Range (90% confident): 56.4% – 56.9%Based on 121K games
0%56.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.4% – 56.9%
Outcome Distribution
55.1%3.1%41.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Bg4
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation
Analyzen=121K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 56.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 56.4% and 56.9%), based on 121K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (1,571 games)
  • 1000-1199: 52.1% win rate (5,060 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.8% win rate (12,379 games)
  • 1400-1599: 54.8% win rate (23,689 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.3% win rate (32,249 games)
  • 1800-1999: 55.9% win rate (28,324 games)
  • 2000-2199: 55.4% win rate (12,342 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.1% win rate (4,429 games)
  • 2500+: 52.2% win rate (693 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (60%), worst in UltraBullet (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.9% win rate (23 games)
  • Bullet: 55.9% win rate (41,040 games)
  • Blitz: 54.7% win rate (64,038 games)
  • Rapid: 53.8% win rate (15,226 games)
  • Classical: 60.3% win rate (409 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.6% expected score (690 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (603 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (273 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (2,108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (2,291 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (649 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 56.6% expected score (4,497 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (6,299 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.6% expected score (1,549 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.3% expected score (28 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (7,769 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 55.5% expected score (12,577 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.5% expected score (3,257 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.5% expected score (81 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (8,867 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (18,852 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.0% expected score (4,384 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 65.6% expected score (143 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 58.3% expected score (7,821 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (16,534 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (3,836 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 63.1% expected score (129 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 58.5% expected score (5,503 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (5,684 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (1,139 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (3,178 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 54.5% expected score (1,114 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (137 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.2% expected score (607 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 51.2% expected score (84 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 41.8% (90% CI: 41.6%-42.1%) win rate for white, based on 121K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 45.8% win rate for white (5.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (42.2%) outperforms Classical (35.4%) by 6.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 43.7% (90% CI: 41.6%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 44.7%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.1%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 42.5% (90% CI: 41.9%-43.0%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 41.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-42.0%) win rate for white, based on 32K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 40.7% (90% CI: 40.2%-41.2%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 40.9% (90% CI: 40.2%-41.7%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.0%-43.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 42.8% (90% CI: 39.8%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 693 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 41.7% (90% CI: 41.3%-42.1%) win rate for white (41K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 41.9% (90% CI: 41.5%-42.2%) win rate for white (64K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.6%-42.9%) win rate for white (15K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation has a 35.4% (90% CI: 31.6%-39.4%) win rate for white (409 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit, Cochrane-Anderssen Variation is slightly favors black with a 41.8% (90% CI: 41.6%-42.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.