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Analyzer

Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation

6.2K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 47.7%Based on 6.2K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 45.6% – 47.7%
Outcome Distribution
43.6%6.1%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bb4+
Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation
Analyzen=6.2K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.1%

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 46.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.6% and 47.7%), based on 6.2K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 51% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.0% win rate (172 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.0% win rate (326 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.1% win rate (499 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.4% win rate (549 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.5% win rate (494 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.0% win rate (770 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.8% win rate (1,284 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.4% win rate (1,687 games)
  • 2500+: 36.4% win rate (420 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (44%), worst in Classical (39%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.2% win rate (1,711 games)
  • Blitz: 43.6% win rate (3,382 games)
  • Rapid: 42.7% win rate (1,057 games)
  • Classical: 39.0% win rate (51 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199—
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (35 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (67 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (68 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (63 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (142 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (119 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 34.1% expected score (71 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.3% expected score (193 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (230 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (94 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (269 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.1% expected score (175 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 45.1% expected score (231 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (127 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (202 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (444 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.9% expected score (108 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.7% expected score (306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (865 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 23.7% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (571 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (999 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 48.7% expected score (114 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 72.3% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (237 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 37.4% expected score (172 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (11 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate?

The Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation perform best?

The Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (549 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.9%) outperforms Classical (50.5%) by 1.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation?

The Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a sharpness score of 93.9 (decisive), meaning 93.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 44.7% (90% CI: 38.5%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 47.8% (90% CI: 43.3%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 326 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 46.0%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 499 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 11.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 50.0%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 549 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 49.5%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 494 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 45.6%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 770 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.0%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 420 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 11.3% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 49.9%-53.9%) win rate for white (1.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 48.8%-51.6%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 45.4%-50.5%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.3%.

Is the Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Romanishin Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.