What is the Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation expected score for Black?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation has a 39.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 32.9% and 46.4%), based on 137 Lichess games.
Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation
137 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellBlack Expected Score39.6%Range (90% confident): 32.9% – 46.4%Based on 137 games
0%39.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 32.9% – 46.4%
Outcome Distribution
37.2%4.7%58.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
9...Nxe5
Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation
Analyzen=137
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.7%
Black Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 28% → 60%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 28.0% win rate (11 games)
- 1000-1199: 41.9% win rate (14 games)
- 1200-1399: 32.5% win rate (40 games)
- 1400-1599: 47.2% win rate (25 games)
- 1600-1799: 33.3% win rate (15 games)
- 1800-1999: 31.9% win rate (22 games)
- 2000-2199: 33.3% win rate (6 games)
- 2200-2499: 55.6% win rate (3 games)
- 2500+: 60.0% win rate (1 games)
Black Win% by Time Control
Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Blitz (33%)
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
- Bullet: 42.2% win rate (21 games)
- Blitz: 33.3% win rate (54 games)
- Rapid: 38.6% win rate (62 games)
Black% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | — | ||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (21 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.0% expected score (11 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 34.7% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Parent
Scotch Game52.9%
Analyze Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation win rate?
The Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation has a 58.1% (90% CI: 51.2%-64.9%) win rate for white, based on 137 rated games from Lichess.
Is the Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation better in blitz or rapid?
Blitz (58.6%) outperforms Rapid (57.5%) by 1.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation?
The Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation has a sharpness score of 95.3 (very decisive), meaning 95.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
Is the Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation a good opening?
The Scotch Game: Hanneken Variation is statistically favors white with a 58.1% (90% CI: 51.2%-64.9%) win rate across all ratings. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.