Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line
288K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
42.8%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 43.0%.
Measured over 288K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 3.4 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 288K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 288K
- Best context
- 49.2% at 0-999 Blitz
- Worst context
- 40.7% at 1800-1999 Classical
- Average game length
- 30 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.6%
- Draws
- 3.4%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 50.3% at 0-999, 47.1% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (2,217 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (3,381 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,092 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (5,324 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (12,820 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (3,439 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (29 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (8,393 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (25,383 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (8,933 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (115 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 22.1% expected score (20 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (9,627 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (34,496 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (16,231 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.8% expected score (618 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (10,209 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (34,156 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (18,367 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (654 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (11,027 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (26,326 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (13,441 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (506 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (10,714 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (14,123 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (3,899 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.5% expected score (155 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (7,249 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (3,399 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (644 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
- 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (1,031 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (120 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line scores 42.8% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 42.7% and 43.0% — from 288K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 288K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate?
Playing the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line, Black wins 41.1%, draws 3.4% and loses 55.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.8%. It rests on 288K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line perform best?
The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line performs best for Black at 0-999, with an Expected Score of 48.3% (6.7K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 42.9% in Blitz (154K games) against 42.9% in Rapid (66K games).
How sharp is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line?
The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 46.9%, draws 2.7% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.3%. It rests on 6.7K Lichess games, which average 25 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 43.4%, draws 2.7% and loses 53.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.8%. It rests on 22K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 42.2%, draws 3.0% and loses 54.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.7%. It rests on 43K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 41.1%, draws 3.1% and loses 55.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.7%. It rests on 61K Lichess games, which average 29 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 40.3%, draws 3.4% and loses 56.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.0%. It rests on 63K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 40.3%, draws 3.6% and loses 56.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.1%. It rests on 51K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 40.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 56.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.1%. It rests on 29K Lichess games, which average 32 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 40.6%, draws 4.7% and loses 54.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.0%. It rests on 11K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 41.6%, draws 7.7% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 41.5%, draws 2.4% and loses 56.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.7%. It rests on 66K Lichess games.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 41.1%, draws 3.5% and loses 55.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 154K Lichess games.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 40.9%, draws 4.0% and loses 55.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 42.9%. It rests on 66K Lichess games.
What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 38.9%, draws 4.9% and loses 56.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 41.4%. It rests on 2.1K Lichess games.
Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line a good opening?
The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 41.1% of its games and loses 55.5%. It performs best at 0-999. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.