TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line

288K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score42.8%Range (90% confident): 42.7% – 43.0%Based on 288K games
0%42.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.7% – 43.0%
Outcome Distribution
41.1%3.4%55.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...Bb4
Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line
Analyzen=288K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 42.8% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.7% and 43.0%), based on 288K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 47% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.9% win rate (6,700 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.4% win rate (21,617 games)
  • 1200-1399: 42.2% win rate (42,830 games)
  • 1400-1599: 41.1% win rate (60,992 games)
  • 1600-1799: 40.3% win rate (63,402 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.3% win rate (51,308 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.1% win rate (28,895 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.6% win rate (11,299 games)
  • 2500+: 41.6% win rate (1,168 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in UltraBullet (33%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 32.8% win rate (67 games)
  • Bullet: 41.5% win rate (65,791 games)
  • Blitz: 41.1% win rate (154,204 games)
  • Rapid: 40.9% win rate (66,059 games)
  • Classical: 38.9% win rate (2,090 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (2,217 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.2% expected score (3,381 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,092 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 42.6% expected score (5,324 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.3% expected score (12,820 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 46.1% expected score (3,439 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 59.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (8,393 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.1% expected score (25,383 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.5% expected score (8,933 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.6% expected score (115 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 22.1% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.8% expected score (9,627 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 42.6% expected score (34,496 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 43.5% expected score (16,231 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 40.8% expected score (618 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 41.4% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.7% expected score (10,209 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (34,156 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (18,367 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.5% expected score (654 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (11,027 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (26,326 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (13,441 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.7% expected score (506 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (10,714 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (14,123 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.1% expected score (3,899 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 37.5% expected score (155 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.7% expected score (7,249 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (3,399 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (644 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (1,031 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (120 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 46.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (3 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Scotch Game
52.9%
Variations (5)
Scotch Game: Lolli Variation
53.8%
Scotch Game: Classical Variation
50.6%
Scotch Game: Scotch Gambit
54.2%
Scotch Game: Schmidt Variation
47.9%
Scotch Game: Haxo Gambit
55.7%
Analyze Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.3%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 288K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line perform best?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 56.3% win rate for white (63K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (63.5%) by -7.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.2%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.4%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 56.3% (90% CI: 56.0%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.5%-56.5%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 54.6% (90% CI: 53.9%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 50.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.7% draw rate.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.8%-56.5%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.6%) win rate for white (154K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.7%-55.4%) win rate for white (66K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line has a 56.2% (90% CI: 54.4%-58.0%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

Is the Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line a good opening?

The Scotch Game: Göring Gambit, Main Line is statistically favors white with a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.3%-55.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.